《顧小培正在散播偽科學》
一直以來都有唔少讀者inbox文科生問我到底以「免疫學博士」自居嘅顧小培到底可唔可信。
在疫症爆發前,其實顧小培就已經靠玩弄偽科學起家,定期舉行一些所謂的「健康講座」,係講座不斷hard sell保健品,將傳統有醫學寶證的療法妖魔化,講到化療會害死病人,食佢賣的「四寶」就可以強身健體擊退癌症。
最近佢拍了一條Youtube去講疫苗同肺炎,當中唔少非常具誤導性的論述,昨日就被學者打臉。
面對坊間咁多似是而非的偽科學或以「博士」之名去賣產品的人,一般民眾該如何是好?
首先 《#聽到講座你就要小心》
第一樣嘢,當有人(無醫學背景或執照)試圖妖魔化一種傳統具認受性和科學研究支持的療法,同時好熱情咁去賣一些其實你係萬寧同屈臣氏都買到的產品時,你就要提高警覺。
好多時呢d騙局你唔難發現有個有趣的現象,就係如果佢地咁勁用萬寧屈臣氏都買到嘅保健品去醫癌症醫惡疾時,城中富豪實搶住去睇佢,係中環開診所診症收你$3000見五分鐘都仲得,點解要到日日開講座瘋狂sell街坊保健品?
而這些講座你永遠無辦法去Verify「個案1/2/3」「陳小姐」「林太」「王先生」食完保健品後癌症康復的真確性。講座用的圖片更可能是google/stock photo,「林太」可能係唔同講座「患上」唔同嘅「疾病」再靠「保健品」痊癒。
同時,你會發現呢班「博士」或其旗下sales大多賣來賣去都係「保健品」。點解?因為他們無牌唔可以開診所、唔可以開藥、唔可以診症。
又去返佢地當初的claims — 治癌,如果保健品可以有效治癌的話,你覺得仲會唔會叫保健品?無錯,當一種chemical可以有效治病時,佢會變成註冊藥物,but again「博士」同旗下sales係無處方嘅權利和資格。
第二 《#玩弄科學文獻數據》
偽科學玩家最厲害的地方在於玩弄文獻、用似是而非的方法去錯誤解讀文獻,在文中或Youtube隨便quote兩三篇文獻,誤導讀者和市民。
最常見的是引用一些preclinical的臨床研究,特別是在實驗室環境下的報告。例如會講洋蔥素在實驗環境下可以壓抑癌細胞生長,再去無限延伸講洋蔥素可以治癌。
呢種無限滑坡的論述係偽科學界好常見,的確唔少化學物或保健品係實驗環境下有效殺菌殺癌細胞等等。但係,好多嘢都可以係實驗環境下,我放檸檬汁落個Petri dish、去隻老鼠到等等都可能可以殺菌殺癌細胞,但當去到人體裡就係另一個世界。
點解藥物研發要咁多年?因為藥物要經過唔同階段的人體試驗去分析副作用、安全性和功效。更重要的是對比現有療法有無更優質的安全性或功效。這些階段令千千萬萬隻藥物係臨床試驗中胎死腹中。
這一切一切,偽科學斂財商人係唔會話你聽
第三《#利用Title增強可信性》
偽科學玩家很喜歡配上一些「博士」「自然療法博士」「順勢療法博士」「教授」title以提升其可信性。
他們聰明的點在於永遠不會用「醫生」的名義,因為醫生受醫委會和code of conduct約束,需要堅守市民健康。但掛名「博士」「教授」「自然療法」「順勢療法」其實並無法例或條約約束,即使佢地開幾多「健康講座」、大肆賣幾多偽科學產品、甚至俾錯誤醫療意見令病人病情惡化甚至死亡,佢地都係無法律責任。
點解淨賣保健品?因為保健品不屬於藥物、不屬於治療的一種,沒有法例規管。
最後,香港對這些斂財商人的監管係接近零,一直以來民眾都只能以血汗錢去買教訓,更令人無奈的是,錢財被騙走之餘還賠了健康,這是令人無比心痛的事。
之前有一條好有心打擊偽科學的傳媒team其實跟進緊顧小培,不過個story未出就已俾人成條team斬咗
興幸的是,有心人Siddharth Sridhar幫我地分析了顧小培條youtube偽科學之處。
*我試圖調查過顧小培的博士學位,但未能成功verify,但係如果真係PhD holder的話,佢嘅論述係significantly below standard
***Edit: 補充少少資料***
1. 有讀者之前曾經向顧小培修讀博士學位的大學查詢,證實顧小培有關的學歷。謝謝讀者的Verification
2. 上篇文章並非指Preclinical studies無用,事實上preclinical studies是非常重要的,這些研究為我們提供寶貝的資訊,對認識疾病和治療來講是不可或缺的。Preclinical studies不是偽科學,偽科學的是利用有限的preclinical studies進行無限滑坡引伸unreasonable and disproportionate的治療效果。如果上篇用字不夠準確或令人誤解的話,我衷心地向大家道歉
3. 有醫藥界讀者指出保健品其實受食品法例監管,而如果聲稱可以治病的話就是犯了不良醫藥條例。在此感謝讀者rectify我上篇文章不準確的地方。
—————————
**我承認自從被恐嚇過後我係少咗打擊偽科學 and for that I am sorry
同時也有10000部Youtube影片,追蹤數超過2,910的網紅コバにゃんチャンネル,也在其Youtube影片中提到,...
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瑞星科技(02018)被沽空機構追擊,拖累股價下跌11%,看看加利的看法。
瑞聲科技(2018.HK) 遭沽空機構GOTHAM CITY RESEARCH 追擊,目標價$40-$50,現價不建議追
成件事最吊鬼反而係拖埋蘋果落水,瑞聲出澄清也不一定能解決事件。
岩岩睇完份報告,解釋返先:
個重點位係質疑瑞星作為一個供應商,個純利率比蘋果,google,微軟仲要高
理據如下:
1.
AAC has used 20+ undisclosed related parties & dubious accounting to overstate & smoothen profits since 2014.
At least 20 undisclosed related party suppliers are owned or managed by AAC CEO’s family members or employees.
依個用關聯公司做大自己純利方法,我之前有文已經講解左個原理
焦點直擊:宏橋遭受沽空之謎(一) 2017年3月7日 星期二
https://garyinvesmentblog.blogspot.hk/2017/03/blog-post.html
2.
These undisclosed related party suppliers are not listed in Apple’s supplier list, despite some claiming otherwise.
Some of the undisclosed related entities supply the same products as AAC does, are based in the same locations as AAC is, & hire employees under AAC’s name.
AAC has used these hidden entities to evade Apple’s labor standards specified in the Apple Supplier Code of Conduct.
Apple (and other parties) will conduct independent investigations, & validate our findings. As a result, AAC’s profit margins will decline, converging to its peers’ levels.
AAC is in violation of Hong Kong listing rules, Apple’s supplier code of conduct, and its own representations.
依點好中要害,直接叫蘋果查瑞星,如果屬實會好大件事,大家要小心!
3.
AAC has no listed CFO since 2010, per its annual reports.
Chunyuan Wu, the wife of AAC’s CEO, is a member of AAC’s audit & risk committee
企業管治問題,應該攻擊corporate governance做得不好
4.
AAC’s auditor, Deloitte, is considered
the Audit Firm That Has Had the Most Trouble in China
德勤躺著也中槍
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New Renaissance can reform global nations peacefully and digitally
Your esteemed institution will dominate think tank industry with my 4 plans that surely will attract more donation and create New Renaissance to reform China, North Korea and global nations peacefully and create $30 trillion dollars new revenue annual. 4 plans and the new management science will speed global development with prosperity, peace and health for new civilization.
I would like to introduce new management science and technology before the 4 plans that everyone will have equal opportunity to contribute in community and play a role in decision making with direct democracy in order to regulate perceived disequilibrium in human civilization. New management science of direct democracy will not put cat and fish together that is the only way we can keep financial discipline and transparency. Direct democracy is not campaign in every 4 years. It is new life in ICT century. The new management system can sell itself due to the benefit is huge that will create New Renaissance for peace, health and prosperity.
We are so blessed and so lucky to live in ICT era that systematically reform is a matter of finger tips. Human thought and information can transfer so fast and so massive that can perform direct democracy easily with ICT platform. It can start with housing and facility management industry that global residents in housing communities can perform direct democracy to form a global trend of new politics and new management science. We can create equal opportunity in different agendas with ICT platform that will liberate global productivity and lift efficiency to create new revenue $30 trillion dollars in New Renaissance.
Most communities, cities and nations will enjoy the new infrastructure of cloud conference in ICT platform for new management system that can stop human ordeals in politics, finance, education, ecology and economy. New generation will live in prosperity, peace and health with new management science. China reformed in 1980’s with global synergy platform to lift economy tremendously. New Renaissance with new management science will reform global nations in economy, education, politics, ecology and other different agendas that we can cross barrier of time and space to explore new worlds. If we adopt the new management system of direct democracy, we shall live peacefully in New Renaissance that people will not snipe at police any more.
Your institution can lead global think tanks, communities, governments, and enterprises in New Renaissance. It not only will reform management system but also will increase 40% productivity globally that equal to lift $30 trillion dollars revenue annual plus to save resources wasted in mismanagement. Direct democracy is green management for global sustainable development.
ICT sponsors will donate $30 million dollars to the institution annual that can promote New Renaissance and create $3 trillion dollars revenue annual for ICT industry. ICT can fabricate new platform of cloud conference for direct democracy that can apply in housing and facility management industry globally before it can lift to city level, national level and UN level eventually.
A housing community is a small nation. Nation will change when communities change. Residents in housing communities will enjoy surfing new management system to solve unrest and create pleasant environment. New Renaissance will start in housing communities and lift to higher levels accordingly. It will be a project that sells itself and build 200 ICT platforms globally. Each platform will be at the size of Facebook.
Since we can trade stocks directly in NASDAQ, why can’t we use civil power directly in cloud government and cloud conference? Initially we can operate both cloud conference and reality conference synchronously like Dow Jones operating both cloud trading and floor trading. NASDAQ has never operated floor trading since establishment. Literally politics is like the stock exchange. We can trade without brokers in stock exchange as well as in politics.
Everyone has access to information that information can spread massively and quickly without limit of time and space. Global development is the task of how to apply with synergy ICT platform for human activities especially for the public affairs that can lift efficiency, productivity and revenue with new management system to achieve prosperity, peace and health globally.
I am glad to learn we pursue the same goal and we might choose the same approach when we find polluted air in China and India can spread to Japan, America and Europe at the speed of hundreds miles per hour along jet stream in 6 miles height. Particles in polluted air can damage human health as well as catalyze extreme weather globally. We can benefit or hurt consequently with all events happening on the Earth.
What if African will pollute air and water seriously like China and India have done? How soon the Earth will become uninhabitable? Our knowledge and experience convince us the global is a holistic life body. Development should prevent from damaging the holistic life body. We had to protect the holistic life body by all means with new ethics and new code of conduct for sustainable development. The best way to achieve the goal is to operate new management system on ICT platform globally that all people can contribute and play a role in decision making. Everyone can watch, report and maintain the health of the holistic life body in every corner of the Earth without limit of time and space.
New management system and ICT platforms rely on consistent electric power supply. We need to develop green energy as electric power industry is major factor of pollution and global warming. Most energy in nuclear power plant has been applied to heat up sea water and vaporize into the sky that can rise up temperature seriously. Green energy and green management undoubtedly are strong pillars to support sustainable development for the holistic life body.
With continuous high growth rate, Africa has become new engine to pull global economy. Walmart is landing in Lagos. Major manufacturing facilities moved to Africa like Japan Panasonic. Chinese companies have operated in Nigeria since 1980’s. I met chiefs of CCECC in 1982 when they started water bore hole contracts in Lagos and looked for railroads contracts.
Plan 1 is to construct river flow power plants combining irrigation canals in Nigeria with water flushing out of existing hydro generators to rotate river mills for additional 30,000 MW that equals to 20 nuclear power plants. It can irrigate farms for 30 million tons rice annual to improve food shortage and inconsistent power supply not mentioning to create huge employment. Plan 1 is a project of one stone for many birds.
A river generator can be installed in every 7 meters along irrigation canal with minimum water flow at 5 tons per second. 1 KM canal with slight slope at 0.3% can install 140 units of river flow generators at 15 KVA through 150 KVA each depending on water flow. 1 KM canal can equip 2 MW through 20 MW that 1,000 KM canal can install 2,000 MW through 20,000 MW.
In 1920’s Japanese engineer Yoichi Hatta built Wusanto Reservoir in Taiwan with irrigation canal 7,400 Km for rice farm of 145,000 hectares that could reap 3 times annual. Land, water and good weather are available in Nigeria that can develop farms of millions hectares with irrigation canals and river power plants. One hectare farm will produce rice 18 tons for 3 reaps annual.
Plan 1 can change Nigeria and Africa and benefit the global ecologically. USA and China compete in Nigeria and Africa very hard. China promoted railroads construction with loan at $6 billion dollars. IMF offered direct loan to governors at $3.2 billion dollars. I heard GE tried to involve in the railroads construction. Japan plans to invest $30 billion dollars in Africa. Employment, sufficient food and consistent power supply can support Nigeria to lead Africa nations to join the New Renaissance for global peace and sustainable development.
Dangote is an aggressive entrepreneur who might join us for Plan 1. He ranks 25 richest people and is nephew of my friend, Alh. Abdul Dantata. When I was in Nigeria, Abdul gave me his driver Alh. Uba who used to buy ice bars for young Aliko Dangote. Dongote cement can benefit since Plan 1 will need huge cement for river power plants and irrigation canal.
Dangote will donate generously if we can initiate Plan 1 with him and Nigeria president Buhari who is lack of convincing economy policy that a hot pot of food on fire becomes popular target of thieves. Buhari can use Nigerian agric bond to attract investors and complete Plan 1 if he can apply leverage properly. Global donors will support green energy industry in Nigeria if Buhari can show his determination. Good plan, advanced management and talent people will create hope and confidence for a nation and the world.
Plan 1 will attract $1 billion dollars donation and create annual revenue $10 trillion dollars in Africa. The core value of Plan 1 is by all means to prevent Africa from pollution and global warming like China and India. Eventually Plan 1 will attract investors to build river flow power plants with 700,000 MW globally that equal to 400 nuclear power plants. Irrigation canal will boom agric and housing communities synchronously that can develop new cities to attract investors and migrants for new economy in Nigeria and Africa.
European nations will collaborate to construct river power plants with irrigation canal for agric in Africa and in the Middle East to improve economy, ecology and peace. It can reduce refugees flooding into Europe like fleeces. Hopefully it will stop casualty drowned in the Mediterranean Sea.
Big waves attract great surfers. Great surfers can't attract big waves. Good leader can see the trend and keep right direction for delicate surf. I can see 4 trends are going to surge into big waves where we can approach for delicate surfs. New Renaissance will surge with ICT that can promote new platforms for communities, governments and public companies globally. The institution will rank as the 1st think tank in the world if leaders can find new trends of big waves and lead all teams to surf delicately.
Plan 2 is to reform China peacefully with 2 tactics that will turn China into a positive power for regional peace as well as free market for global enterprises. China market is still inaccessible to Facebook, media industry and many other sectors who are looking for tickets to China. They might join us if they learn our plan can benefit them hugely. Apple and Google have been tumbling in China from time to time. Donors from ICT industry and different sectors will donate $3 billion dollars for Plan 2 that will create $10 trillion dollars revenue annual.
Plan 2-1 is to reform China peacefully with platform of cloud conference in housing community management with direct democracy. It will support liberal leadership to emerge in China and open gate wider for global enterprises duly. How can we reform China into democracy when there is only one communist party? No matter one party or no party, residents in housing communities can use cloud conference to perform direct democracy that will create internal climate for liberal leadership.
Plan 2-2 is to mobilize people in global nations to carry out judiciary project in local courts and subvert the apex policy of China i.e. to occupy Taiwan. China has been lying that Taiwan is part of China and there is only one China. Most nations have tolerated Chinese lies for some benefit but lies can’t last forever when global people feel it is enough. Lie can’t never become the truth.
There are extreme groups against China in most nations. They can have suits in courts to win the verdict that Taiwan is not part of China and there are two China in the world. There is nothing wrong to have two China since there are two Congo and two Korea in UN. Nigeria is the only nation considers two China and accept Taiwan to register in the name of the Republic of China in Nigeria. The verdict surely will discredit leadership in Beijing and bring stronger impact than the South China Sea Arbitration has done. It will split leadership in Beijing and support emergence of liberal leadership.
Justice of speech is as important as freedom of speech. It is new trend in ICT century that human can solve global conflicts with judiciary power and public opinions instead of wars. Verdict of Plan 2-2 will become huge external power to shake dictatorship in Beijing that can collaborate with internal pressure from direct democracy in housing communities of Plan 2-1. Plan 2 will catalyze emergence of liberal leadership and lead China to join New Renaissance.
Plan 2 will reform China and North Korea with direct democracy and judiciary power peacefully that will attract $3 billion donation and create $10 trillion dollars revenue annual. Taiwan people can donate $1 billion dollars referring to Taiwan people donated $252 million dollars in 2011 for Japan tsunami.
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