【陪你看國際新聞】中國與中東歐國家的 17+1 合作，後來怎麼了？
我們常看到中國的許多宏大規劃、大規模合作，但其實很多真的就只是樣子好看，口號大，最後無疾而終。
像是中國跟中東歐國家，成立了 17+1，感覺好大好厲害。但這篇分析揭露，其實這個已經剩下空殼了，沒有實質進展，只剩下論壇跟夏令營的功能。
- How China’s 17+1 Became a Zombie Mechanism / the Diplomat
https://bit.ly/3rHHbTz
主要的原因是，中國樂於成立這種架構，辦記者會，但卻沒有長遠策略。可能因為自己國家是用中央集權壓制各地差異的關係，所以中國把 17 個中東歐國家當成一個整體，而不太考慮他們的個別需求、背景、多樣性、政策差異等。
然後更糟的是，中國完全沒有考慮在這個領域發展影響力時，應該要把俄羅斯考慮進去。不管是俄羅斯的影響力，或者是俄羅斯跟這些國家的矛盾關係。
結果，在必須選擇的時候，很多國家倒向美國，甚至加入了驅逐華為的乾淨網路計畫。
可能也因為中國經濟轉弱，許多當初的承諾，不管是經濟的、投資的、貿易的，都沒做到。於是 17 國漸漸地累積對中國的不信任，北京也沒打算做任何事情來挽回。
「From the beginning, China had a bad approach to the CEE and lacked a long-term strategy.
First of all, China treated the 16 (now 17) CEE countries as a monolith, without caring very much about their diversity of visions, policies, perspectives, or backgrounds. China also completely ignored the “Russian factor,” which makes many CEE countries, especially those from the eastern flank, prone to side with the United States. So when these countries had to choose, they chose Washington.
Secondly, China didn’t clearly communicate its intentions with the 17+1 mechanism, so that even its members didn’t know Beijing’s goals.
Finally, China simply failed to deliver on its economic, investment and trade promises, which had made the 17+1 mechanism appealing for the CEE in the first place. Disappointment toward China had been steadily building in many CEE countries because of postponed or unfulfilled projects, but Beijing didn’t do anything to address this problem.」
cee countries 在 Central and Eastern Europe - Wikipedia 的相關結果
The CEE countries include the former socialist states, which extend west of Russia, Belarus, Ukraine, Moldova; south of Finland and the Baltic Sea; north of ... ... <看更多>